Design of an Integrated Hybrid System Architecture for Risk Analysis Applications

The objective of this project was to establish a conceptual design for a hybrid system architecture for risk analysis. The design encompasses modules for both simulation (for project risk analysis) and probabilistic risk assessment (regarding safety issues). The knowledge base incorporates heuristics to integrate and interpret the algorithmic results. By utilizing the information from the expert system, in concert with one or more quantitative techniques resident in the model base, it is possible to conduct more effective risk analyses. A prototype system was developed as part of this project. The prototype was created for demonstration purposes only. It is envisioned that the final version of the hybrid system may be subsequently constructed using the conceptual design established by this research.